thetaOwl

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $164.85EOD only
Max Pain
$170.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.73
2.9% from close
Price Gap
+5.15
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
35
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.90
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
MSTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 6, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 6, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 21, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
5.0

out of 10

5 not higher because the conflict between bullish GEX pinning and bearish flow hedging creates uncertainty, and earnings on 4/30 with negative EPS estimates add a binary risk that could invalidate the pin regardless of current positioning.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin toward $130-$132 — positive GEX creates strong magnetic effect, with spot above max pain reinforcing near-term upward gravity.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows net premium negative and P/C above 1, indicating institutional hedging that contradicts the bullish pin thesis from GEX and directional outlook.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell $125/$120 put spread for 4/17 expiry — defined risk, profits from pin holding above $125, capitalizes on theta decay.

Key Risk

Break below $100 flips gamma long, removing the pin support and triggering accelerated downside toward lower levels, invalidating the bullish thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 6, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.