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HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.Close $96.71EOD only
Max Pain
$85.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.55
4.7% from close
Price Gap
-11.71
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
93
High premium
P/C OI
0.66
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects HOOD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
HOOD Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

Bullish flow and pinning ahead of July earnings; elevated IV but no immediate event risk.

Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 23.8% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18
Most important: Call-heavy flow and max pain pinning suggest bullish bias with resistance near $120.
🐂Call volume 2.4x puts; max pain at $85 suggests upward bias.
⚠️Large put open interest at $85-$70 may cap downside.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-29 (42 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-18 (1d): ±$4.04 (3.8%)
  • 2026-06-26 (9d): ±$9.45 (9.0%)
  • 2026-07-02 (15d): ±$12.07 (11.5%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Backwardated near term; short-dated elevated, longer-dated decays as earnings approach.

Crush estimate: No nearby event; IV crush not applicable until earnings week.

Skew: Skew mildly bullish; puts cheap relative to calls in front months.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Historically moves ±12% on earnings, slightly above implied.

Directional bias: Bullish; beat rate 80% with consistent upside after prints.

Key Levels

1EM guardrails: 2d $101.16/$109.23; 1w $95.75/$114.65
2Max pain pins: $85 (2026-06-18); $89 (2026-06-26); $85 (2026-07-02)

Flow Highlights

Net call premium $289M; put/call vol ratio 0.42.

Strong call buying dominance, bullish sentiment.

Unusual 6/18 $101 put (60x open interest) and $113 call (54x).

Hedging and speculative upside bets concentrated near resistance.

Strategies

Short Strangle Ahead of HOOD Earnings
Sell 2026-07-24 $96.00 put + sell $115.00 call
Credit: $9.00-$11.00
Max loss: Unlimited
Max gain: $11.00
BE: 85.00 / 126.00
Trigger: Monitor gamma near earnings; close if price approaches strikes or IV spikes.
High IV, backwardated term, no catalyst, max pain near $100, resistance at $115.
Outperforms: Sells OTM put and call to capture elevated IV decay with bullish bias but limited upside.
Underperforms: Break outside short strikes invalidates short-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Spot 23.8% above max pain may induce pinning pressure.
!High VIX regime could amplify moves if sentiment shifts.
!Earnings 42 days away; low immediate catalyst.

What to Watch

?Price action at $110 resistance and $120 call wall.
?Gamma flip levels: $93 support.
?Volume in 6/26 expirations for earnings positioning.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.