thetaOwl

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.Close $93.19EOD only
Max Pain
$81.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.70
7.2% from close
Price Gap
-12.19
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
85
High premium
P/C OI
0.62
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects HOOD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
HOOD Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 12, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

Bullish skew with flow and pinning. Earnings 47d, 80% beat rate.

Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 9.6% from MP; +1 VIX 18
Most important: Call OI wall $100-$105; put floor $55-$70.
📈Net call premium ~$91M; put/call OI 0.62.
⚠️Gamma flip at $70 (70% prob).
📊Beat rate 80% but far out.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$70.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,883 (24.9% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-29 (47 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-18 (6d): ±$6.70 (7.2%)
  • 2026-06-26 (14d): ±$9.80 (10.5%)
  • 2026-07-02 (20d): ±$6.07 (6.5%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Front-end elevated: 6d ±7.2%, 14d ±10.5%, 20d ±6.5%.

Crush estimate: Moderate post-earnings; near-term elevated.

Skew: Call skew steep at $100+; puts concentrated low.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Overshoots IV ~2% on beats.

Directional bias: Bullish, 80% beat rate.

Key Levels

1$70.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 1w $86.49/$99.89
3Max pain pins: $85 (2026-06-12); $81 (2026-06-18); $80 (2026-06-26)

Flow Highlights

Unusual put buying at $93 and $94 0DTE (high vol/OI ratio).

Hedging or bearish bets; low IV.

Massive call OI wall $100-$105; $94 call vol 43k.

Strong bullish sentiment, pinning.

Strategies

Call Calendar
Sell 2026-06-26 $100.00 call / buy 2026-07-24 $100.00 call
Debit: $3.04-$3.72
Max loss: $3.72
Max gain: Variable
BE: Path-dependent
Trigger: Exit if stock breaks $85 invalidation; roll if IV flattens.
Front-end IV elevated (14d at 10.5%); calendar profits from IV convergence; bullish bias.
Outperforms: Sell short-dated call, buy longer-dated to exploit term structure.
Underperforms: Loss of support or adverse vol term shift weakens thesis.
Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-08-21 $90.00/$100.00 call spread
Debit: $3.80-$4.65
Max loss: $4.65
Max gain: $5.35
BE: $94.65
Trigger: Close near $100 if stock rallies; cut loss below $85.
Bullish bias and OI wall $100-$105 provide defined upside target; cheaper than outright call.
Outperforms: Buy $90 call, sell $100 call for limited risk/reward.
Underperforms: Loss of support weakens upside continuation thesis.
Long Straddle
Buy 2026-08-21 $90.00 put + buy $90.00 call
Debit: $20.50-$25.05
Max loss: $25.05
Max gain: Unlimited
BE: 64.95 / 115.05
Trigger: Sell one side early if direction becomes clear; set stop loss at 50% premium.
80% beat rate and IV overshoot ~2% favor large moves; expensive but high reward.
Outperforms: Buy ATM put and call to profit from big directional move.
Underperforms: Under-realized move and IV crush hurt long-vol thesis.
Short strangle
Sell 2026-06-26 $84.00 put + sell $100.00 call
Credit: $3.57-$4.36
Max loss: Unlimited
Max gain: $4.36
BE: 79.64 / 104.36
Call OI wall at $100 and put floor at $84 provide defined range; 14d IV high at ±10.5%.
Outperforms: Sell elevated front-end IV strangle to collect premium before earnings, leveraging OI walls as resistance.
Underperforms: Break outside short strikes invalidates short-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Gamma flip at $70 (70% prob) accelerates downside.
!Elevated IV and close OI increase pinning risk near max pain $81-$85.

What to Watch

?Max pain $85 (0DTE) and $81 (6d) as support.
?Call OI wall $100-$105 break triggers upside.
?Unusual put activity expiration.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 12, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.