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HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.Close $98.12EOD only
Max Pain
$84.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.38
5.5% from close
Price Gap
-14.12
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
85
High premium
P/C OI
0.64
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects HOOD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
HOOD Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

HOOD bullish into earnings on 80% beat rate, heavy call flow and gamma pinning support upside

Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 13.8% from MP; +1 VIX 16; override: Multiple tailwinds: bullish flow, GEX pinning, low VIX, but spot far from MP
Most important: Call OI wall $105-$120, put floor $55-$70, bullish flow and positive gamma regime
🐂Net premium $51.7M, P/C vol ratio 0.37: strongly bullish
⚠️Spot 13.8% from max pain: pin risk if gamma flips

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$70.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 16,243 (27.6% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-29 (43 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-18 (2d): ±$4.55 (4.7%)
  • 2026-06-26 (10d): ±$8.42 (8.7%)
  • 2026-07-02 (16d): ±$10.80 (11.2%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping: 2d ±4.7%, 10d ±8.7%, 16d ±11.2%

Crush estimate: Post-earnings crush likely 50-60% of pre-event IV

Skew: Skew flat with put volatility elevated near strikes $88-$97

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: 80% beat rate suggests upside skew, but avg move not given

Directional bias: Bullish given flow and beat rate

Key Levels

1$70.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $92.16/$101.26; 1w $88.28/$105.13
3Max pain pins: $85 (2026-06-18); $87 (2026-06-26); $83 (2026-07-02)

Flow Highlights

Aggressive call buying at $96-$104 strikes across expirations

Institutional positioning for upside with high volume/OI ratios

Unusual put activity at $96-$97 strikes, 9.5x and 5.6x vol/OI

Hedging or bearish bets, but dwarfed by call volume

Strategies

Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-08-21 $100.00/$105.00 call spread
Debit: $1.69-$2.06
Max loss: $2.06
Max gain: $2.94
BE: $102.06
Trigger: Exit if spot breaks below $85.91 invalidation.
Aligned with bullish bias and 80% beat rate; limited risk.
Outperforms: Buy $100 call, sell $105 call for net debit; profits on rise above $105.
Underperforms: Loss of support weakens upside continuation thesis.
Short Strangle
Sell 2026-07-24 $90.00 put + sell $105.00 call
Credit: $8.60-$10.51
Max loss: Unlimited
Max gain: $10.51
BE: 79.49 / 115.51
Trigger: Monitor gamma; consider rolling if spot nears strikes. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Wide spread (52%).
Captures high IV premium with defined support/resistance.
Outperforms: Sell $90 put and $105 call to collect premium; bet on range-bound price.
Underperforms: Break outside short strikes invalidates short-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Spot 13.8% above max pain ($85) could pullback to pin
!Gamma flip at 70% if spot drops 30% from current
!Support at $85.91 may be tested on VIX spike

What to Watch

?Key resistance $100, $105, $107.51
?Earnings on July 29, 43 days out
?Put OI at $85 and $90 for support
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.