thetaOwl

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.Close $82.47EOD only
Max Pain
$83.00
Next expiry Jun 12, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.80
8.3% from close
Price Gap
+0.53
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
65
High premium
P/C OI
0.60
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 5, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects HOOD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 5, 2026 close
HOOD Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

HOOD strong bullish setup with 80% beat rate, high IV, and call-heavy flow.

Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 VIX 19
Most important: Call OI wall at $90-$120 and put floor at $55-$75 suggest significant upside bias.
📊80% beat rate supports bullish bias.
⚠️High IV of 70%+ implies larger moves expected.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$70.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,721 (17.7% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-29 (51 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-12 (4d): ±$5.67 (6.7%)
  • 2026-06-18 (10d): ±$8.20 (9.6%)
  • 2026-06-26 (18d): ±$10.20 (12.0%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Front-end IV elevated (~70-78%), slight contango to 18d expiry.

Crush estimate: Expected IV crush 30-40% post-earnings.

Skew: Call skew elevated, reflecting bullish sentiment.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Avg move ~7.5% vs 6.7% expected for 4d, slightly larger.

Directional bias: Bullish: 80% beat rate and positive post-earnings drift.

Key Levels

1$70.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 1w $76.84/$93.24
3Max pain pins: $83 (2026-06-12); $79 (2026-06-18); $80 (2026-06-26)

Flow Highlights

Heavy call buying at $90 strike (28k vol, 10k OI).

Aggressive upside bets targeting $90+.

Put buying at $86 (1.2k vol, 5.5x OI) as hedge.

Protective puts but net bullish.

Strategies

Range-Bound Iron Condor
Sell 2026-06-18 $80.00/$76.00 put wing and $85.00/$90.00 call wing
Credit: $2.61-$3.18
Max loss: $1.82
Max gain: $3.18
BE: 76.82 / 88.18
Trigger: Exit at 50% max profit or limit loss to 1.5x credit
Captures IV crush with defined risk, suits bullish but range-bound expectation
Outperforms: Sells $80/$76 put and $85/$90 call wings before earnings to profit from IV crush
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.
High IV Short Strangle
Sell 2026-06-18 $80.00 put + sell $85.00 call
Credit: $5.54-$6.77
Max loss: Unlimited
Max gain: $6.77
BE: 73.23 / 91.77
Trigger: Monitor closely; exit if break-even approached or add hedge
Higher credit but unlimited tail risk; less suitable due to bullish bias
Outperforms: Sells $80 put and $85 call to collect high premium from elevated IV
Underperforms: Break outside short strikes invalidates short-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!IV crush risk: large post-earnings drop in implied volatility.
!Gap risk: high IV implies large expected move.
!Gamma exposure: pinning near $83 max pain could cause short-term reversal.

What to Watch

?Earnings date 6/25; near-term expiries 6/12,6/18,6/26 show building positions.
?Monitor $90 call OI and $83 max pain for gamma effects.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 8, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.