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HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.Close $88.33EOD only
Max Pain
$82.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.97
3.4% from close
Price Gap
-6.33
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
56
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.63
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 4, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects HOOD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 4, 2026 close
HOOD Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 5, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

HOOD setup for July earnings with mixed signals; bullish call buying offset by macro risks.

Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.6% from MP; +0.5 VIX 22
Most important: Focus on guidance and user growth; gamma pin at $75-$80.
🐻Macro headwinds persist: VIX elevated, broad market weak.
📈Call activity bullish: 0.5 put/call vol ratio, net premium positive.
⚖️IV reasonable for earnings; crush not expected to be extreme.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
At
Gamma flip: ~$75.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,772 (9.1% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-29 (54 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-12 (7d): ±$6.80 (8.2%)
  • 2026-06-18 (13d): ±$9.32 (11.3%)
  • 2026-06-26 (21d): ±$11.48 (13.9%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Flat contango; front-month IV near normal for July event.

Crush estimate: IV crush 15-25% post-earnings.

Skew: Skew neutral, slight put premium at low strikes.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Average move 1.15x implied.

Directional bias: Slightly bullish; 60% beat rate.

Key Levels

1$75.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 1w $75.67/$89.27
3Max pain pins: $82 (2026-06-05); $83 (2026-06-12); $79 (2026-06-18)

Flow Highlights

Call buying on front-month $80 strike, 10k vol vs 5k OI.

Bullish speculation targeting upside to $80-$85.

Put OI elevated at $75, building floor support.

Defensive positioning, not bearish directional.

Strategies

Short Strangle on HOOD
Sell 2026-08-21 $75.00 put + sell $90.00 call
Credit: $13.97-$17.08
Max loss: Unlimited
Max gain: $17.08
BE: 57.92 / 107.08
Trigger: Monitor delta; adjust or close if IV expands beyond 30%.
Only viable candidate; flat contango supports short premium; slight bullish bias.
Outperforms: Sells put and call to collect premium; profits if HOOD stays between $75 and $90.
Underperforms: Break outside short strikes invalidates short-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Negative earnings surprise or guidance miss.
!Macro selloff could pressure high-beta names.
!Competitive threats from traditional brokers.

What to Watch

?Revenue and user growth trajectory.
?Guidance for next quarter.
?Any updates on crypto trading volume.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 5, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.