HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.Close $83.77EOD onlyThis page reflects HOOD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
HOOD exhibits strong bullish dealer positioning with +$76.7M GEX and bullish flow, suggesting pinning and upward bias near max pain $83. High vol regime (VIX 22.22) and negative market context (SPY -1.58%) introduce risk, but thesis leans bullish for the next 2 days targeting $83-$91.
Conflicts: Spot 4% above MP, high vol regime, VIX 22.22, negative broad market.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+76.7M
DEX: +52.5M shares
Gamma flip: ~$70 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,818 (18.9% below spot))
NTM gamma: Dealer gamma +$76.7M, positive with flip at ~$70. Net delta +52.5M shares long, indicating dealer hedging upward.
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: HOOD IV elevated above VIX (22.22), implying rich premium; volatility risk premium favors sellers.
Term structure: Slight contango with event kink at Jun12 expiry; front-end elevated, back-end normalizing.
Skew: Put skew elevated near $75, call skew rich; consider selling put spreads at support $75.69 to capture high vol premium.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Net premium $72.6M, P/C vol ratio 0.24, strongly call-skewed bullish flow.
Directional prints: 77.5 put 89 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 23.2x, high; likely bought puts, bearish or hedging. Preferred: bought. 75.9 call 92 OTM 2026-06-18 — Vol/OI 20.1x, high; likely bought calls, bullish. Preferred: bought. 78.3 put 88 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 16.5x; likely bought puts, bearish. Preferred: bought.
Unusual: 79.1 put 86 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 9.1x, notable; likely bought puts, bearish or hedging. Preferred: bought. 99.6 call 106 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 10.6x, speculative OTM call; likely bought, bullish. Preferred: bought. 101.6 call 104 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 9.8x, similar OTM call; likely bought, bullish. Preferred: bought.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull call spread | Moderate | Buy 2026-06-12 $83.00/$90.00 call spread Why now: Defined risk, leverage upside within range | Max loss if spot falls below long strike Substitutions: long_call: resolved contract 2025-04-11 $83.00 missing; used 2026-06-12 $83.00.; short_call: resolved contract 2025-04-11 $90.00 missing; used 2026-06-12 $90.00. |
| Put credit spread | Moderate | Sell 2026-06-12 $80.00/$77.00 put spread Why now: Collect premium with defined risk, fits bullish bias | Max loss if spot below short strike Substitutions: short_put: resolved contract 2025-04-11 $80.00 missing; used 2026-06-12 $80.00.; long_put: resolved contract 2025-04-11 $77.00 missing; used 2026-06-12 $77.00. |
| Cash-secured put | Moderate-Weak | Sell 2026-06-12 $80.00 cash-secured put Why now: Collect premium, willing to buy at discount | Assignment risk if spot falls below strike Substitutions: short_put: resolved contract 2025-04-11 $80.00 missing; used 2026-06-12 $80.00. |
| Bullish risk reversal | Conditional | Buy 2026-06-12 $90.00 call / sell 2026-06-12 $80.00 put Why now: Upside exposure financed by put, benefits from momentum | Downside risk from naked put if spot falls below strike Substitutions: long_call: resolved contract 2025-04-11 $90.00 missing; used 2026-06-12 $90.00.; short_put: resolved contract 2025-04-11 $80.00 missing; used 2026-06-12 $80.00. |
Top Plays
Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.
Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.
These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.