HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.Close $83.77EOD onlyThis page reflects HOOD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
Bullish thesis driven by strong dealer long gamma (+$56.7M GEX) and bullish flow, with spot near max pain $83 pinning. High IV vs VIX ~20 supports premium selling but upside bias remains near-term. Resistance at $90, gamma flip at $70 are key risks.
Conflicts: Resistance $90/$93.92, gamma flip $70, vol contraction risk.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+56.7M
DEX: +50.1M shares
Gamma flip: ~$70 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,934 (16.4% below spot))
NTM gamma: Dealer long gamma +$56.7M, DEX +50.1M shares. Gamma flip at ~$70 based on put OI concentration (15,934 contracts).
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: IV rich vs VIX~20, indicating elevated vol premium. Favor premium selling if thesis holds.
Term structure: Likely backwardated near event; check front-end kinks for expiry specifics.
Skew: Put skew elevated; consider put credit spreads near support to collect premium.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Net premium +$46.8M, put/call vol ratio 0.26, strong call bias.
Directional prints: 68.8 call 82 ITM 2026-07-10 — Vol 619 vs OI 129 (ratio 4.8), likely bought. Bullish flow. 74.3 call 90 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol 25550 vs OI 13522 (ratio 1.9), large volume. Bullish sentiment. 74.9 call 92 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol 4926 vs OI 2650 (ratio 1.9), bullish addition.
Unusual: 324.2 call 30 ITM 2026-06-18 — Deep ITM call with extreme IV 324%, vol/OI 1.8, unusual anomaly. 68.8 call 82 ITM 2026-07-10 — Vol/OI 4.8, highest ratio, unusual call activity. 76.2 put 81 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 3.2, high put activity despite bullish net flow.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull call spread | Moderate-Strong | Buy 2026-08-21 $80.00/$90.00 call spread Why now: Defined-risk debit spread captures upside with limited cost; expiration after earnings. | Resistance at $90 caps upside; earnings miss could hurt. |
| Put credit spread | Moderate | Sell 2026-08-21 $75.00/$70.00 put spread Why now: High IV supports premium collection; defined risk below $70. | Gamma flip at $70 if bearish catalyst; vol expansion. |
| Bullish risk reversal | Moderate-Strong | Buy 2026-08-21 $90.00 call / sell 2026-08-21 $75.00 put Why now: Flows show strong call buying; owns upside with limited cost. | Unlimited downside on short put below $75; margin intensive. |
| Call diagonal | Moderate | Sell 2026-07-17 $90.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $85.00 call Why now: High near-term IV (68-70%) vs back-month; vol crush play with directional bias. | Short call assignment risk if spot spikes before expiration; long call theta decay. |
Top Plays
Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.
Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.
These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.