HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.Close $82.47EOD onlyThis page reflects HOOD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
Bullish thesis driven by strong bullish flow, positive dealer gamma pinning near $83, and spot above max pain. High vol suggests continued momentum, but resistance at $90 and gamma flip at $70 pose risks. Confidence high (8.5/10) due to alignment of GEX and flow.
Conflicts: Resistance at $90, gamma flip at $70, potential profit-taking.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+58.2M
DEX: +50.2M shares
Gamma flip: ~$70 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,721 (17.7% below spot))
NTM gamma: Dealers long gamma ($+58.2M) and long delta (+50.2M shares), pinning near $83. Flip risk at $70 from put concentration.
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: Ticker IV rich vs VIX, reflecting high vol regime and event-driven premium.
Term structure: Term structure upward-sloping with kinks near weekly expiries; front-end elevated.
Skew: Put skew elevated; consider sell puts at $70 support or buy calls for upside.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Net bullish premium ~$40.3M, P/C vol ratio 0.32, call-heavy flow.
Directional prints: 71.6 call 90 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 2.7, massive 28K volume; new bullish buying, likely aggressive upside bet. 71.5 call 86 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 2.4, 9.9K vol; new call buying, bullish sentiment. 71.9 call 85 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 1.9, 10.9K vol; continued call accumulation, bullish.
Unusual: 68.5 put 86 ITM 2026-06-18 — Highest vol/OI 5.5, new put buying; bearish hedge or speculative, could be sold if resistance holds. 76.7 call 96 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 2.8, OTM call; new bullish lottery buying, high IV. 72 put 82 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 2.5, new put buying; bearish or hedging flow.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull call spread | Strong | Buy 2026-08-21 $90.00/$95.00 call spread Why now: Defined-risk upside capture using 85/90 call spread; aligns with bullish bias and earnings follow-through. | If stock fails to rally above $85 or declines, premium lost. |
| Put credit spread | Moderate-Strong | Sell 2026-08-21 $85.00/$80.00 put spread Why now: High IV and bullish flow; selling 80/76 put spread benefits from time decay and pinning above $80. | Sharp drop below $80 could cause losses; max loss limited. |
| Cash-secured put | Moderate | Sell 2026-08-21 $85.00 cash-secured put Why now: Strong support near $80; earnings catalyst could push higher; cash-secured put yields premium while waiting. | Stock could fall below $80, leading to assignment at higher than market price. |
Top Plays
Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.
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These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.