thetaOwl

AVGO

Broadcom Inc.Close $422.65EOD only
Max Pain
$375.00
Next expiry Apr 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$12.52
3.0% from close
Price Gap
-47.65
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
41
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.18
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AVGO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 22, 2026 close
AVGO Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 23, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: N/A
Invalidation: Sustained trade below $380 or rapid IV collapse (<~25) / large one-day up-move breaking max-pain
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 10.5% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
Elevated ATM IVs vs VIX; front-day is rich (1d call/put skew extreme)
Favorable?
No

Term structure: Term structure steep: very elevated front-week IVs; mid-dates elevated ~45–55%

⚠️Front-week IV/skew extreme — avoid short-dated selling; high assignment and gamma risk
⚠️Put OI concentrated in deep-tail strikes ($220–$300) but max-pain clustering sits near ATM $380–$400 — tail protection differs from ATM pin risk
⚠️Large call OI wall at $450–$500 creates asymmetric gap/margin risk to the upside
Mid-dated premium selling may be workable if rolled and sized conservatively (avoid front-week), dealers likely passive in mid-dates

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+80.2M)

Gamma flip: ~$300.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 12,889 (28.6% below spot)

OI concentrations: Put OI concentration noted in deep-tail strikes ($220–$300) representing long-tail protection bets; separate ATM/near-term max-pain sits ~ $380–$400 driving pinning dynamics

Verdict: Pinning risk elevated at ATM max-pain levels; directional risk if spot diverges >~10% from pins; deep-tail OI is not the same as ATM pin concentration

Premium Opportunities

#1
Call diagonal
Sell 2026-05-29 $435.00 call / buy 2026-06-18 $420.00 call
Sell 5/29 $435 call, buy 6/18 $420 call to monetize elevated short-dated IV/skew while keeping directional exposure into earnings.
Debit: $15.25-$18.64
Max loss: $18.64
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Trim if IV collapses <~25 or stock sustains < $380; roll or close if spot rises toward $450–$500 OI wall or large one-day gap occurs.
#2
PMCC / LEAPS diagonal
Buy 2026-10-16 $440.00 call + sell 2026-06-18 $490.00 call
Buy 10/16 $440 call and sell 6/18 $490 call to finance LEAP exposure and absorb post-earnings IV normalization.
Debit: $36.49-$44.61
Max loss: $44.61
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Manage if IV collapses or stock breaks < $387.7; consider rolling sold call higher if strong upside momentum or close before major gap risk.

Risk Alerts

!Avoid short-dated/front-week premium selling due to extreme IV/skew and assignment risk
!Large call OI wall at $450–$500 = asymmetric gap and margin risk on upside moves
!Max-pain clustering around $380–$400 may concentrate expiry pinning and near-term volatility
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on April 23, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.