thetaOwl

AVGO

Broadcom Inc.Close $398.47EOD only
Max Pain
$345.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.71
1.7% from close
Price Gap
-53.47
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.12
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AVGO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
AVGO Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness6 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Sell short-dated premium (e.g., iron-condor or put-credit spreads) to harvest elevated IV
Invalidation: Sustained price move below $360 or sudden IV collapse to sub-30% on short-dates
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 17.0% from MP; +1 VIX 17

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
Stock IV (avg ~60%) materially above VIX (17%), short-dated skew extreme
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Steep, dislocated short-term term structure (0–7d) with call/put IV spikes; medium-dated IV elevated but normalizing

⚠️Short-dated IV dislocation creates elevated premium but fast reprice risk
📌Gamma/pinning concentrated near max-pain levels $348–$372, supporting pin risk
📅Upcoming earnings within the short-dated window — elevated event risk and potential IV pop/crash

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+83.6M)

Gamma flip: ~$290.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 13,147 (28.7% below spot)

OI concentrations: Major put OI concentrated 28.7% below spot; max-pain cluster $348/$372/$368

Verdict: High pin risk: concentrated short-dated OI plus dealer GEX (+$83.6M) — spot above MP increases pinning pressure toward those strikes

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-05-29 $365.00/$335.00 put spread
Sell 5/29 365/335 put spread to collect rich premium while capping downside; favorable IV skew and high premium-on-time decay.
Credit: $3.94-$4.81
Max loss: $25.19
BE: $360.19
Mgmt: Enter at or below listed bid range; tighten or buy back if price drops toward $360 or IV collapses; roll or cut if breach below invalidation level.
#2
Iron condor
Sell 2026-06-18 $350.00/$320.00 put wing and $490.00/$540.00 call wing
Sell 6/18 350/320 put and 490/540 call wings to collect wider premium with time for IV to normalize.
Credit: $8.84-$10.81
Max loss: $39.19
BE: 339.19 / 500.81
Mgmt: Deploy after earnings if IV falls; adjust wings or hedge if spot moves toward short strikes or IV remains elevated.

Risk Alerts

!Earnings/event within short-dated window can spike or crush IV — avoid unhedged premium sells around event
!Rapid move toward max-pain pins or breach of $360 invalidates thesis
!Short-dated IV reprices causing gap risk and gamma amplification

Read the Theta analysis for AVGO for 2026-04-17. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.