thetaOwl

AVGO

Broadcom Inc.Close $414.14EOD only
Max Pain
$420.00
Next expiry May 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$11.88
2.9% from close
Price Gap
+5.86
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
44
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.14
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AVGO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
AVGO Theta Report
Analysis based on market close May 26, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Short Credit Spreads
Invalidation: Break of EM guardrails $401-$442
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.5% from MP; +1 VIX 17

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
Avg IV 57.5% vs VIX 17.0% – highly favorable
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Near-term IV surges from 10d (70%) then declines; put skew elevated

📈Dealer long gamma (+$39.8M) supports pinning; high IV attractive

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: At

GEX regime: Pinning ($+39.8M)

Gamma flip: ~$300.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 14,567 (28.9% below spot)

OI concentrations: Max pain $420 today, $415 tmrw. Heavy put OI 14.6k contracts 28.9% below spot. Call wall $450-500.

Verdict: Pinning risk high near $420; avoid naked ATM short premium

Premium Opportunities

#1
Iron condor
Sell 2026-06-18 $400.00/$395.00 put wing and $440.00/$445.00 call wing
Sell iron condor with $400/$395 put and $440/$445 call wings for credit.
Credit: $3.38-$4.12
Max loss: $0.88
BE: 395.88 / 444.12
Mgmt: Close if stock approaches $420 or take profit at 50% max gain.
#2
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-06-18 $400.00/$395.00 put spread
Sell $400 put and buy $395 put for credit, expecting stock above $400 at expiry.
Credit: $1.75-$2.14
Max loss: $2.86
BE: $397.86
Mgmt: Monitor invalidation level $420; close if breached.

Risk Alerts

!Pin risk at $420
!IV spike on 10d expiration
!Put/Call OI ratio 1.17 indicates bearish sentiment
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on May 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.