base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -1 spot 6.4% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18; override: High IV and short gamma increase risk, reducing confidence slightly despite elevated premiums.
Term structure: Steep contango after front month; 0dte extreme call skew (111% vs put 80%) indicating upside pin demand.
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Trending ($-55.5M)
Gamma flip: ~$330.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 16,586 (9.6% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI 16,586 (9.6% below spot) forms support; call wall $400-$500.
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-08-21 $350.00/$340.00 put spread
Sell $350/$340 put spread to collect premium with 6.4% downside buffer.
Mgmt: Close at 50% profit or at expiration before pin risks.
#2Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-08-21 $350.00 cash-secured put
Sell $350 put to collect $21+ premium, secured by cash.
Mgmt: Roll if tested or close early to avoid assignment.
!Max pain pin risk on expiration – spot likely to move toward $390.
!Short gamma dealer positioning may amplify intraday swings.
!Extreme 0dte call skew – potential squeeze if spot rises above $375.