thetaOwl

AVGO

Broadcom Inc.Close $481.57EOD only
Max Pain
$420.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$43.30
9.0% from close
Price Gap
-61.57
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.12
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 2, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AVGO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 2, 2026 close
AVGO Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 15, 2026. A newer theta report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8.5 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Sell put credit spreads near the $370–$385 support band
Invalidation: Sustained close below $385.15 (2d lower EM) — or failure to hold $367.50 support
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 8.0% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
Near-term ATM IV 40.5% (2d) → 47.6% (16d) vs VIX 18.17 — IV is materially elevated relative to equity vols (avg IV 60.6%).
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Front-week IV is rich (40.5% at 2d) with elevated mid-term IV (46–50% across 16–64d). Term structure supports selling 3–8 week premium while keeping some calendar/diagonal optionality.

💰Avg IV 60.6% and ATM term IV ~47%–50% provide strong theta pickup vs VIX 18.17
📌GEX +$82.4M (pinning) increases chances of price stalling near nearby OI walls (~$390/$400)
⚠️Very large call flow at $300/$360/$400 shows structural positioning — watch one-sided call pressure into expiries

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+82.4M)

Gamma flip: ~$290.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 13,162 (26.9% below spot)

OI concentrations: Strong GEX magnets at $390 (+$14.9M, -1.7% from spot) and $400 (+$13.7M, +0.8% from spot); additional pin at $410 (+$2.8M). Max pain near-dates: $367.50 (4/15), $340 (4/17), $370 (4/20).

Verdict: Favorable — positive GEX (+$82.4M) with concentrated call/put walls around $390/$400/$370 creates a pinning environment that supports defined-risk short premium (put spreads) while making wide short strangles riskier.

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-05-15 $360.00/$330.00 put spread
Sell near-term-to-1mo put credit spreads targeting short puts around the 25–30 delta with a 10-point protective long put; uses pinning and dealer buying to bias outcomes in favor of spreads.
Credit: $3.74-$4.57
Max loss: $25.43
BE: $355.43
Mgmt: Take ~60–70% of max credit on profit; tighten or roll if price closes below $385.15; exit or roll if price breaches $367.50 support
#2
Call credit spread
Sell 2026-04-24 $420.00/$440.00 call spread
Sell 1–4 week call credit spreads sized to the heavy call walls; cap risk with a long call 10–15 points wide to survive squeezes.
Credit: $2.00-$2.44
Max loss: $17.56
BE: $422.44
Mgmt: Manage if AVGO closes above $400 on high volume; consider buying back at 60%+ of max loss or rolling up/out

Risk Alerts

!Unusual large 4/17 put flow: AVGO 04/17 $390P vol spike (Vol=4,030) — short-dated tail interest could amplify moves around expiry.
!Pin/GEX concentration at $390/$400 — can hold price near strikes and produce one-sided bleed for the opposite wing of strangles; manage the pinned side early.
!Major support cluster $367.50/$366.47 — breach would remove dealer pinning support and accelerate downside toward gamma flip (~$290) or structural put floor.
!Elevated Avg IV 60.6% — favorable for sellers but also indicates higher realized move risk; IV spikes on market sell-offs will widen wing costs.
!Earnings not imminent (next 2026-06-03, 49d) — no naked short through earnings needed now, but monitor calendar trades that straddle the event window.
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on April 15, 2026.
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Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.