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USO

United States Oil FundClose $125.92EOD only
Max Pain
$120.00
Next expiry Aug 12, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.54
3.6% from close
Price Gap
-5.92
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
0
Low premium
P/C OI
1.20
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Aug 10, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Aug 10, 2026 close
USO AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 26, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 8 because the anomalous call buying introduces upside risk that dims the pure bearish signal; if spot holds below $100, conviction rises to 8.

Where Perspectives Agree

Both directional and flow see bearish bias — spot below max pain and negative gamma amplify downside, with resistance at $109-$112.

Where They Diverge

Flow detects aggressive OTM call buying (vol/oi up to 14x) that contradicts the bearish thesis and could fuel a short squeeze above $109.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-17 $100/$96 bear put spread for $1.80 debit — defined risk, profits from break below $100.

Key Risk

Break above $109 flips GEX positive and triggers call buying — downside thesis invalidated, upside accelerates to $112.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.