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USO

United States Oil FundClose $121.21EOD only
Max Pain
$132.00
Next expiry Jun 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.30
2.7% from close
Price Gap
+10.79
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
10
Low premium
P/C OI
1.68
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
USO AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because the theta strategy's defined-risk approach clashes with the aggressive downside implied by flow and directional; if price holds near current levels, conviction drops.

Where Perspectives Agree

All three perspectives converge on a bearish bias for USO, with negative GEX, bearish flow, and spot below max pain reinforcing downward pressure.

Where They Diverge

Theta recommends a mild bear call spread (sell $120/$125 call spread), while directional and flow expect a sharper drop below $110 — conflicting on aggression and target depth.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-17 $110/$105 put spread for $1.50 debit

Key Risk

Break above $125 invalidates the bearish thesis — reverses GEX regime and triggers short covering, driving price toward $130.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.