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USO

United States Oil FundClose $106.29EOD only
Max Pain
$120.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.43
1.4% from close
Price Gap
+13.71
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
6
Low premium
P/C OI
1.54
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
4.5/10
Downside lean
Published snapshot: Jun 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 24, 2026 close
USO AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 25, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.0

out of 10

8 not 9 because spot at $0.00 is an anomaly that adds uncertainty; otherwise, strong alignment across GEX, flow, and IV skew supports high conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

All three personas agree on a bearish outlook for USO, with downside risk to $105 and below, driven by heavy put flow, negative dealer gamma, and spot below max pain.

Where They Diverge

No fundamental conflicts: Theta's call credit spreads, Directional's put spreads, and Flow's put buying all express bearish bias; only trade structure differs, not direction.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-10 $105/$100 bear put spread for $1.50 debit — defined risk, targets $105 support break.

Key Risk

Break above $115 resistance invalidates the bearish thesis, triggering gamma and dealer positioning shifts that could reverse spot to $120.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 25, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.