thetaOwl

USO

United States Oil FundClose $114.87EOD only
Max Pain
$119.00
Next expiry Jun 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.88
5.1% from close
Price Gap
+4.13
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
47
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.57
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
USO AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.0

out of 10

8 not 9 because theta's caution on high IV slightly tempers conviction, but all signals strongly bearish.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bearish consensus: negative dealer gamma and heavy put flow point to downside toward $108.99 support.

Where They Diverge

Theta suggests waiting for IV contraction, while directional recommends immediate put purchases — a timing conflict, but directionally aligned.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-02 $115/$105 bear put spread for $2.00 debit.

Key Risk

Break above $124 invalidates bearish thesis, as it would overcome dealer gamma and resistance per all personas.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.