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USO

United States Oil FundClose $115.47EOD only
Max Pain
$129.00
Next expiry Jun 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.68
2.3% from close
Price Gap
+13.53
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
16
Low premium
P/C OI
1.65
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
USO AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because the theta confidence is slightly lower (6), and the risk of a gamma bounce at $100 limits certainty. Higher confidence would require stronger put flow or a confirmed breakdown below $110.

Where Perspectives Agree

All three personas converge on a bearish bias for USO — directional, flow, and theta all see negative gamma, bearish put flow, and price below max pain, reinforcing downside pressure toward $110.

Where They Diverge

No material conflicts; trade structures differ (puts vs call credit spread) but share the same bearish outlook and key levels.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-02 $110/$105 bear put spread for $2.50 debit — defined risk, profits from expected decline, targets $105 support.

Key Risk

Spot breaks above $125 invalidates bearish thesis — triggers short gamma squeeze and dealer buying, accelerating to $132 resistance.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.