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USO

United States Oil FundClose $140.92EOD only

Max Pain

$143.00

Next expiry May 27, 2026

Expected Move

±$11.12

7.9% from close

Price Gap

+2.08

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Low premium

P/C OI

1.75

Slightly put-heavy

Consensus

6.0/10

Neutral tilt

Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

May 22, 2026 close

USO AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close May 26, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction

7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because the conflict between range-bound and directional break reduces conviction; 7 not 6 because core bearish signals (short gamma, negative flow, spot below MP) are strongly aligned.

Where Perspectives Agree

All three personas point to bearish downside pressure near term — dealer short gamma, spot below max pain, negative net premium, and high IV all support a move toward $126 or lower.

Where They Diverge

Theta expects range-bound price action supporting iron condors, while Directional anticipates a downside break; Flow's call accumulation at 135-144C adds mild bullish noise but overall net premium is bearish.

Top Trade

via directional

Buy 2026-06-18 $140.00/$135.00 bear put spread for $2.10 debit.

Key Risk

Break below $126.33 support triggers accelerated downside toward $121.40, invalidating the bear pin thesis and possibly leading to a larger sell-off.

How to Use These Reports

This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 26, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.