thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $313.03EOD only
Max Pain
$327.50
Next expiry Jul 27, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.07
2.9% from close
Price Gap
+14.47
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
24
Low premium
P/C OI
0.68
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Jul 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jul 24, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 10, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for June 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 8 because short-term 0DTE noise and max pain pin possibility reduce confidence; earnings are 42 days out, making near-term bearish less certain.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bearish bias with high IV and negative dealer gamma; spot below max pain suggests downside risk toward $353, but pin action near $380-$385 possible.

Where They Diverge

Theta's short put spreads assume support holds, contradicting directional and flow bearish outlook; earnings suggests neutral strategies (iron condor) vs. bearish directional.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-08-21 $350/$325 bear put spread for debit

Key Risk

Break above $410 invalidates bearish thesis, flips dealer gamma positive, triggering short squeeze and momentum to $430.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 10, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.