thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $396.68EOD only
Max Pain
$407.50
Next expiry Jun 10, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.38
2.4% from close
Price Gap
+10.82
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
55
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.73
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Jun 9, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 9, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 9, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 not higher because conflicting flow and theta bias undermine the otherwise consistent pin thesis, keeping conviction moderate.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on a pinning range near $395-$408, with max pain at $408 acting as a magnet; dealer gamma support and elevated IV favor defined-risk premium collection.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows net put premium dominance (-$447M) despite high call volume, indicating bearish hedging that contradicts the bullish pin thesis; also, theta's bear call spread recommendation directly opposes the range-bound expectation.

Top Trade
via earnings

Sell 2026-06-18 $395/$390 put wing and $405/$410 call wing iron condor for $0.75 credit.

Key Risk

Break below $390 flips dealer gamma long, removing pin support — downside accelerates toward the $300 put wall.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 9, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.