thetaOwl

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $16.17EOD only
Max Pain
$16.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.60
3.7% from close
Price Gap
-0.17
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
65
High premium
P/C OI
0.51
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 27, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 27, 2026 close
SOFI Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 15, 2026. A newer theta report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Sell put credit spreads near $17 support (defined-risk put spreads)
Invalidation: Daily close below $17.00 support / sustained move toward gamma flip ~$15.00
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 10.5% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
Avg IV 75.0% vs VIX 18.17 — IV is highly elevated vs market vol
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Very steep near-to-mid term skew: 2d ATM 55.8% -> 16d ATM 82.3% then easing into mid 60s for multi-months

💰Very rich IV (Avg IV 75.0%) gives strong premium to sellers
📈Positive GEX (+$218.7M) + bullish net premium ($53.2M) creates pinning / support bias
⚠️Earnings in 13 days (2026-04-28) elevates tail risk for naked short exposure

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+218.7M)

Gamma flip: ~$15.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 71,127 (20.2% below spot)

OI concentrations: Large call OI wall at $19.00 (95,088 OI) and concentrated puts at $15.00/$16.00 (71,127 / 60,097 OI). Near-term GEX concentration +$92.2M at $19.00, +$16.5M at $18.00, +$15.7M at $18.50.

Verdict: Favorable — strong positive GEX (+$218.7M) and call OI around $19 act as a pin magnet above spot; max pain cluster near $17.00 provides put-side support. This pinning environment generally favors defined-risk credit sells (put spreads, iron condors) while making naked short strikes near the pin safer but still subject to pin/backtest risk.

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-05-15 $17.00/$14.00 put spread
Sell a short-dated-to-mid DTE put credit spread near $17 support to harvest elevated premium while keeping defined risk; prefer expirations 25–55 DTE and 3-point wide protective long puts.
Credit: $0.51-$0.63
Max loss: $2.37
BE: $16.37
Mgmt: Take profits at 50–75% credit captured; tighten or roll if daily close below $17.00; exit if price approaches gamma flip ~$15.00
#2
Call diagonal
Sell 2026-04-24 $19.00 call / buy 2026-07-17 $20.00 call
Sell the 2026-04-24 front call into the $19 pin and buy a 2026-07-17 call to retain upside while monetizing front-month theta and elevated IV.
Debit: $1.17-$1.42
Max loss: $1.42
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Buy to close short leg on 30–50% of max profit or if spot > $19.50; consider rolling short leg out 1–2 weeks higher if bullish bias persists
#3
Iron condor
Sell 2026-04-24 $17.50/$12.50 put wing and $20.50/$25.00 call wing
Sell defined wings around $17 put support and $19–$20 call resistance using 9–30 DTE expirations; keep wings tight relative to expected move and avoid selling naked into earnings.
Credit: $0.36-$0.44
Max loss: $4.56
BE: 17.06 / 20.94
Mgmt: Close or adjust on 50–70% of max profit, or if daily close outside 1-week EM bounds [$17.29 - $20.30]; widen/roll if implied vol collapses or price trends

Risk Alerts

!Earnings scheduled 2026-04-28 (13 days) — do not sell naked through earnings; use defined-risk structures or wait for post-earnings repricing.
!Gamma flip ~$15.00 — a close toward or below this will accelerate downside; exit/hedge credit exposure if price moves below $15.00.
!Pin pressure at $19.00 and $17.00 means short-dated positions can pin into expirations (2026-04-17 mp $17.00; 2026-04-24 mp $16.50) — manage assignment risk and short strikes near these levels.
!Extremely high Avg IV (75.0%) increases both premium and the magnitude of spot moves; IV can reprice quickly and widen spreads—use defined risk where possible.
!Unusual activity: concentrated volume in short-dated $18.50 put (4% OTM 04-17) and heavy flow at $20.00/$19.00 calls — institutional blocks could cause directional gaps.
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on April 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.