base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 16.7% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19
Term structure: Atm IV rises from 78.55 (1D) to ~90 (7D) then stable; extreme put skew at front (put 349% vs call 122%)
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+71.9M)
Gamma flip: ~$1000.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 16,893 (17.6% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI concentrated at $1000 (16.9k contracts, 17.6% below spot); max pain pins at $1040 (Jun 26), $1000 (Jul 2,10)
#1Call diagonal
Sell 2026-07-31 $1480.00 call / buy 2026-09-18 $1690.00 call
Sell near-term call, buy later-dated call to capture IV premium decay.
Mgmt: Monitor vol and spot; exit if spot nears short strike or vol collapses.
#2Put diagonal
Sell 2026-07-31 $1095.00 put / buy 2026-09-18 $1070.00 put
Sell near-term put, buy later-dated put to profit from volatility normalization.
Mgmt: Watch closely due to poor liquidity; exit if spot approaches invalidation. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Open interest below 25.
!Event risk (potential earnings) driving extreme put skew
!IV crush after expiry could collapse premiums
!Downside tail risk from heavy put OI concentration at $1000