base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 4.4% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18
Term structure: Extreme put skew; short-dated puts IV > 350%
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+10.8M)
Gamma flip: ~$1000.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 21,059 (11.7% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put floor $600-$1000 (21K OI at $1000); Call wall $1250-$1300
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-24 $985.00/$980.00 put spread
Sell $985/$980 put spread to collect premium from high IV, with buffer above gamma flip at $1000.
Mgmt: Monitor spot near $1000; close if pin risk escalates or IV contracts sharply.
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-31 $1020.00/$1015.00 put wing and $1370.00/$1380.00 call wing
Sell 35 DTE put/call wings $1020/$1015 and $1370/$1380 to profit from range-bound movement.
Mgmt: Adjust wings if IV falls significantly or spot breaks key levels. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Open interest below 25.
#3Call diagonal
Sell 2026-07-17 $1300.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $1470.00 call
Sell near-term $1300 call, buy later $1470 call; benefits from vol term structure.
Mgmt: Roll short call if spot approaches $1300; monitor earnings catalyst. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_call: Volume below 5.
!Extreme IV regime increases vega risk for premium sellers
!Gamma flip at $1000; spot 4.4% above max pain could trigger mean reversion
!Dealer net long gamma (GEX +$10.8M) suggests pinning, but flow mixed