thetaOwl

MU

Micron Technology, Inc.Close $455.07EOD only
Max Pain
$420.00
Next expiry Apr 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$33.02
7.3% from close
Price Gap
-35.07
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
82
High premium
P/C OI
1.16
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 17, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MU options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 17, 2026 close
MU Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 20, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness5 / 10
Sizing: Conservative
Primary: defined-risk credit spreads / collars (avoid naked broad short premium into near-dated skew)
Invalidation: Spot breaks and holds below gamma-flip ~390 or front-month IV collapses >30%
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 5.5% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
Elevated IV vs VIX ~19; ATM IV ~68–71 with rich short-dated puts
Favorable?
No

Term structure: Steep front-month put skew (04/24–05/08) then flattens; longer-dated IV more balanced

⚠️Front-month put skew (puts >> calls) increases tail risk into 04/24–05/08; avoid naked short premium near-dated
📅Event risk: earnings/macro around 04/24 and 05/01 could spike IV—stress-test positions for event-driven repricing
📌Max‑pain clustering at $425/$400 supports pinning near near-term expiries but concentrates risk

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+38.3M)

Gamma flip: ~$390.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 16,977 (13.0% below spot)

OI concentrations: Put OI clustered at $425 and $400; notable concentration ~13% below spot; gamma flip ~390

Verdict: High near-term pin and tail-risk to 04/24 and 05/01; prefer defined-risk hedged structures around expiries

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put diagonal
Sell 2026-05-29 $395.00 put / buy 2026-07-17 $420.00 put
Collects elevated front-month premium, reduces downside risk via longer-dated long put; benefits if front IV mean-reverts after event.
Debit: $25.76-$31.49
Max loss: $31.49
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Close short leg into IV peak or before pin windows (04/24–05/01); roll or trim if spot breaches 425 or front IV spikes >30%.
#2
Call diagonal
Sell 2026-05-29 $520.00 call / buy 2026-07-17 $530.00 call
Generates premium from elevated short-dated calls; long call cushions assignment risk and retains upside exposure after event.
Debit: $16.88-$20.63
Max loss: $20.63
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Buy back short leg if IV collapses >30% or spot breaks <390; hold/adjust long leg through event if bullish.

Risk Alerts

!Spot breach and sustain below 390 (gamma flip)
!Front‑month IV spike or sudden skew steepening around 04/24–05/01 (earnings/macro)
!Dealer flow/GEX turning large negative; avoid naked short premium into event windows
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on April 20, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.