base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 21.1% from MP; +1 VIX 17
Term structure: Contango in calls, steep backwardation in puts near-term
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+34.6M)
Gamma flip: ~$1000.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 13,886 (17.4% below spot)
OI concentrations: Max pain $1000 (6/26, 7/2) and $950 (7/10). Put OI 13,886 (17.4% below spot) at $1000.
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-02 $1080.00/$1000.00 put spread
Sell 1080/1000 put spread; bullish with 4.1% max gain.
Mgmt: Take profit at 50% max gain; stop loss if spot closes below 1000.
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-02 $1115.00/$1045.00 put wing and $1380.00/$1470.00 call wing
Sell put wing 1115/1045 and call wing 1380/1470; neutral to slightly bullish.
Mgmt: Close at 50% max gain or if pin risk materializes near 1000.
!Extreme put skew: near-term put IV 284% vs call 153%
!Pinning at $1000: gamma flip from put OI concentration
!Spot 21.1% above max pain; potential mean reversion