base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 8.5% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19
Term structure: Front-end IV spiked to 87-112%, put IV extreme at 321% (1d); longer-term IV 90-110%
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+57.8M)
Gamma flip: ~$730.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 16,831 (26.7% below spot)
OI concentrations: Call OI wall at $1050; put OI floor $500-$800; multiple max pain pins
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-10 $895.00/$760.00 put spread
Sell put spread at $895/$760 to collect elevated premium, betting spot holds above support.
Mgmt: Close if spot breaches $917.5 invalidation; adjust as earnings exit approaches.
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-10 $895.00/$695.00 put wing and $1220.00/$1390.00 call wing
Sell put spread at $895/$695 and call spread at $1220/$1390, profiting from range-bound.
Mgmt: Monitor pin risk; close early if spot approaches either wing. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Volume below 5.; short_call: Open interest below 25.; long_call: Volume below 5.
!Spot above max pain ($918) near call resistance ($1050)
!Gamma flip at $730: sharp drop could trigger dealer hedging
!Front-week put IV at 321% signals tail risk