thetaOwl

MSTR

Strategy IncClose $129.37EOD only
Max Pain
$140.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.17
4.0% from close
Price Gap
+10.63
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
70
High premium
P/C OI
1.02
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 4, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 4, 2026 close
MSTR Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 5, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Sustained negative net premium and put/call volume ratio >1.5 with spot below gamma flip.
Invalidation: Spot reclaims gamma flip near $100 or net premium turns positive intraday.
Confidence:
6.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -1 spot 13.4% from MP; +0.5 VIX 22

Watch next session: Spot vs. gamma flip level ~$100; Put/call volume ratio

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$406.8M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 1.78

P/C OI ratio: 0.96

Bearish flow with -$406.8M net premium and put volume 1.78x calls. Negative gamma (-$72.4M) pressures dealers to hedge lower. DEX +55.4M shares offers some offset. Unusual call prints on June 12 strikes suggest speculative positioning, but dominant bias remains bearish given high VIX and spot below moving average.

Notable Prints

#1
MSTR 2026-06-12 $125.00 Call
Vol: 20,654
OI: 168
Vol/OI: 122.9x
IV: 88.3%
Notional: ~$9.0M
Intent: Call sale
Dual read: Spec buy

Read-through: Capped upside

#2
MSTR 2026-06-12 $132.00 Call
Vol: 27,264
OI: 251
Vol/OI: 108.6x
IV: 87.9%
Notional: ~$6.3M
Intent: Call sale
Dual read: Spec buy

Read-through: Capped upside

#3
MSTR 2026-06-05 $120.00 Call
Vol: 30,013
OI: 403
Vol/OI: 74.5x
IV: 17.8%
Notional: ~$2.4M
Intent: Close

Read-through: Expiry

#4
MSTR 2026-06-12 $30.00 Put
Vol: 10,629
OI: 154
Vol/OI: 69.0x
IV: 325.0%
Notional: ~$21K
Intent: Put hedge

Read-through: Tail risk

#5
MSTR 2026-06-12 $128.00 Call
Vol: 8,544
OI: 173
Vol/OI: 49.4x
IV: 87.4%
Notional: ~$2.7M
Intent: Call sale
Dual read: Spec buy

Read-through: Capped upside

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy OTM call buying for 6/12 expiry: $125C (20.7k vol), $132C (27.3k), $128C (8.5k). Today's $120C (30k) likely closing.

Put additions: High put volume for today: $116P (22.7k), $118P (15k). Also deep OTM puts: $30P (10.6k), $60P (6.8k).

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX negative (-$72.4M, put-heavy), DEX positive (+55.4M shares call delta) — divergent; flow bearish but dealers long delta.

OI clusters: Largest OI concentrations: Not explicitly observed; but high OI in $116P (722), $118P (510) for today.

Hedging evidence: Significant put buying at 116 and 118 suggests downside hedging ahead of expiration.

Max pain context: Spot ($115 approx) below Max Pain; pinning pressure upward but bearish flow.

Signal vs Noise

~High vol/oi ratios in $125C (122.9x), $132C (108.6x) signal institutional call accumulation for next week.
~Put volume at $116P and $118P indicates hedging vs spot decline.
~Deep OTM put volume ($30P, $60P) with high IV likely speculative noise.

Key Conclusions

⚠️Heavy call buying for next week vs. bearish spot suggests hedging or bullish conviction; monitor 128C OI growth.
🔻Put volume at 116/118 for today expiration signals near-term downside protection; spot below MP adds risk.
📉GEX/DEX divergence indicates dealer gamma short but delta long; potential for sharp moves if spot breaks key levels.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 5, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.