thetaOwl

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.Close $76.75EOD only
Max Pain
$78.00
Next expiry May 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.31
4.3% from close
Price Gap
+1.25
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
41
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.70
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects HOOD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 13, 2026 close
HOOD Theta Report
Analysis based on market close May 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness6 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Collect premium with defined risk
Invalidation: Spot breaks below $70 or above $82
Confidence:
6.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.6% from MP; +1 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
IV (71.5%) far exceeds VIX (17.9%); rich premium environment.
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Short-term IV decaying then rising; term structure not uniformly contango.

📈IV vs VIX spread extremely wide, favoring premium selling.
⚠️Term structure dip at 16d may indicate event uncertainty.

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Below

GEX regime: Pinning ($+28.4M)

Gamma flip: ~$70.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 18,480 (8.8% below spot)

OI concentrations: Put OI concentration at $70; Call OI wall $82-$100.

Verdict: Pinning near $78 max pain; $70 gamma flip support.

Premium Opportunities

#1
Iron condor
Sell 2026-06-18 $75.00/$70.00 put wing and $80.00/$85.00 call wing
Sell $75/$70 put and $80/$85 call spreads, net credit 3.35, reward:risk >2:1.
Credit: $3.27-$3.99
Max loss: $1.01
BE: 71.01 / 83.99
Mgmt: Monitor gamma and vega; adjust or close at 50% max gain or if spot threatens wings.

Risk Alerts

!High IV may compress quickly; manage vega risk.
!Pin risk at $78 expiry; avoid naked options near strike.
!Call OI wall at $82 could limit upside.
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on May 13, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.