thetaOwl

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Close $31.69EOD only
Max Pain
$31.50
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.80
2.5% from close
Price Gap
-0.19
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
3
Low premium
P/C OI
1.31
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CMG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 24, 2026 close
CMG AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 25, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

6 not 7 because conflicting flow signals (bullish sweeps vs net bearish premium) and earnings downside hedging reduce alignment; not lower because pin support is strong across personas.

Where Perspectives Agree

Near-term pin to $32 supported by positive gamma and max pain, with directional, theta, and flow agreeing on range-bound action near $31.50-$33.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows bullish call accumulation at $33, but earnings perspective reports net negative premium and elevated put OI (1.3 ratio), directly contradicting the bullish call thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-02 $31.50/$31.00 put spread for $0.40 credit — defined risk, profits from pin above support.

Key Risk

Break below $31 support invalidates pin thesis, flips dealer gamma negative, accelerates decline to $30.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 25, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.