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CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Close $30.54EOD only

Max Pain

$31.50

Next expiry Jun 26, 2026

Expected Move

±$1.16

3.8% from close

Price Gap

+0.96

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Low premium

P/C OI

1.26

Slightly put-heavy

Consensus

6.5/10

Bearish tilt

Published snapshot: Jun 22, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CMG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Jun 22, 2026 close

CMG AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close June 23, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction

7.5

out of 10

7.5 not 9 because earnings beat rate introduces upside tail risk that undermines full conviction; 7 not lower because flow and gamma alignment is strong with normal vol environment.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on a bearish thesis: dealer short gamma, bearish flow, spot below max pain, and elevated put activity favor downside to $30 support.

Where They Diverge

Earnings 100% historical beat rate contradicts bearish directional; theta warns low IV (40.6%) fails to compensate for tail risk from negative gamma.

Top Trade

via directional

Buy 2026-07-31 $30.00/$28.00 bear put spread for $0.85 debit.

Key Risk

Break above $32 invalidates bearish thesis due to positive gamma flip and max pain magnet, accelerating to $33 resistance.

How to Use These Reports

This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 23, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.