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CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Close $32.73EOD only
Max Pain
$32.40
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.00
3.0% from close
Price Gap
-0.33
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
60
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.08
Balanced positioning
Consensus
4.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CMG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
CMG AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because earnings in 2 days add binary risk that could invalidate the bearish setup regardless of current positioning; if price breaks below $31.77 pre-earnings, conviction rises to 9.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bearish bias with downside pressure from heavy put buying, negative dealer gamma, and spot near max pain — all personas expect a breakdown below $32 support.

Where They Diverge

Theta's defined-risk income trades (iron condor, put credit spread) assume limited movement, directly contradicting Directional's high-confidence bearish breakout thesis and Flow's aggressive put demand.

Top Trade
via flow

Buy 2026-07-17 $30.00 put for $1.50 debit

Key Risk

Break below $31.77 triggers dealer gamma flip from short to long, accelerating selling to $30.00; an unexpected earnings upside gap above $35 would invalidate the bearish thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.