thetaOwl

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Close $32.23EOD only
Max Pain
$32.40
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.25
3.9% from close
Price Gap
+0.17
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
45
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.11
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CMG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
CMG AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
4.5

out of 10

4.5 not 3 because IV and event window support premium selling, but conflicting GEX signs and bearish flow prevent higher conviction; binary outcome remains.

Where Perspectives Agree

High-vol, event-driven regime with conflicting dealer positioning and heavy put flow, making directional bets risky.

Where They Diverge

Directional sees bullish dealer long gamma and upward momentum, while flow and earnings see bearish GEX and institutional put accumulation — directly incompatible on direction.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-10 $35.00/$45.00 call credit spread for $0.85 credit — defined risk, profits from pin or slight decline, expires before earnings.

Key Risk

Break below $30.62 support invalidates bullish pin and flips dealer gamma to short — accelerates decline to $29.80 gap fill.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.