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CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Close $31.86EOD only
Max Pain
$32.40
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.61
1.9% from close
Price Gap
+0.54
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.06
Balanced positioning
Consensus
7.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 17, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CMG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 17, 2026 close
CMG AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.0

out of 10

8 not 9 because earnings event tomorrow introduces binary outcome that could reverse bearish positioning despite strong alignment across all signals.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on bearish bias with high conviction: spot below max pain, heavy put flow, dealer short gamma, and high IV amplify downside risk toward $30 support.

Where They Diverge

No major conflicts: theta suggests event hedging but directional and flow advocate direct bearish positioning; the difference is trade structure, not thesis.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-24 $30.00/$24.00 bear put spread for $2.50 debit (max risk $2.50, max profit $3.50, breakeven $27.50).

Key Risk

Break below $30.02 support flips dealer gamma short to long, triggering stop-loss cascade and accelerating decline to $25 put wall.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.