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BABA

Alibaba Group Holding LimitedClose $128.90EOD only

Max Pain

$120.00

Next expiry Aug 21, 2026

Expected Move

±$8.40

6.5% from close

Price Gap

-8.90

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Middle-high premium

P/C OI

0.72

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

6.0/10

Consensus signal

Published snapshot: Aug 19, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects BABA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Aug 19, 2026 close

BABA AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Consensus-supported lens with chain history and key metrics in the rail.

Conviction

6.0

out of 10

6 not 7 because the directional bullish thesis (confidence 7) conflicts with three bearish signals, reducing conviction. If directional had lower confidence or spot showed clear breakdown, conviction would be higher.

Where Perspectives Agree

High volatility, negative dealer gamma (-$48.6M), and spot 10.8% below max pain amplify downside risk; put-heavy flow and earnings hedging align with bearish positioning.

Where They Diverge

Directional sees a bullish rebound opportunity from oversold conditions, contradicting the bearish flow, theta, and earnings perspectives that highlight persistent put accumulation and downside tail risk.

Top Trade

via theta

Sell 2026-07-10 $115.00/$117.00 call spread for credit — aligns with bearish flow and theta premium sale, profits from pinning below resistance.

Key Risk

Sustained break below $104 support triggers stop-loss cascade, accelerates downside to $100 long gamma flip, invalidating bullish pin and confirming bearish flow.

How to Use These Reports

This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.