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BABA

Alibaba Group Holding LimitedClose $131.47EOD only
Max Pain
$134.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.71
2.1% from close
Price Gap
+2.53
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
12
Low premium
P/C OI
0.69
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects BABA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
BABA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 6, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Consensus-supported lens with chain history and key metrics in the rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

6 not 7 because the high IV tempers directional edge and the upcoming earnings event in 38 days is a binary risk that current GEX and flow signals cannot hedge, reducing confidence in the pin holding through the event.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin to $130 — GEX negative and spot below max pain create gravitational pull, supported by put selling/hedging activity.

Where They Diverge

High IV at 50.1% adds cost to long premium, conflicting with the directional bullish thesis that typically favors lower IV for cheaper entries, and earnings event risk on 5/14 introduces uncertainty that could invalidate the pin regardless of current positioning.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell $120/$115 put spread 4/17 for credit — defined risk, profits from bullish pin and put selling activity, expires pre-earnings.

Key Risk

Break below $120 flips gamma long, breaking support and accelerating sell-off — invalidates the bullish pin thesis and triggers downside to $115.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 6, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.