thetaOwl

AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.Close $238.55EOD only
Max Pain
$240.00
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.50
1.9% from close
Price Gap
+1.45
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
52
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.65
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AMZN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
AMZN Directional Report
Analysis based on market close June 12, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

AMZN bullish pinning at $240; upside bias to $243.06; confidence 9.

Confidence:
9 / 10
Higher from GEX/flow alignment and spot at MP.
Supports: Bullish flow, positive GEX, MP pinning.
Conflicts: Resistance at $240 and $250.
📈Bullish flow and GEX aligned.
📌Spot exactly at max pain $240.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
Normal
Vol normal, VIX 17.68.
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Gamma pinning, +$84.2M GEX, max pain $240.
Flow Regime
Bullish
Bullish flow, call bias.
Spot vs Max Pain
At
Spot at $240, pinning.
Thesis duration: Event-specific — Max pain dates 6/12,6/15,6/17 drive event.

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days
$234.05$243.06
Pinning to $240, resistance $243.06.
Next 1 week
$231.28$245.83
Breakout target $245.83.
Next 2 weeks
$226.40$250.70
Support $226.4, resistance $250.7.

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $240 (2026-06-12); $240 (2026-06-15); $245 (2026-06-17)
EM guardrails: 2d $234.05/$243.06; 1w $231.28/$245.83
Support: $226.40
Resistance: $240.00 · $250.00 · $250.70
Structural: Support $226.4; resistance $240, $250, $250.7.

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+84.2M

DEX: +107.6M shares

Gamma flip: N/A

NTM gamma: Bullish NTM gamma, +$84.2M GEX, long gamma.

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV in line with VIX.

Term structure: Flat term structure, event kinks.

Skew: Skew normal, no opportunity.

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net call premium $39.4M, P/C vol ratio 0.41, bullish flow.

Directional prints: 23 call 237.5 ITM 2026-06-15 — Vol/OI 68x, OI jump. Likely bought; bullish bet. 77.4 call 220 ITM 2026-06-15 — Vol/OI 47x, ITM call. Likely bought; bullish continuation.

Unusual: 23 call 237.5 ITM 2026-06-15 — Extreme vol/OI 68x, OI surge. Aggressive new bullish position. 77.4 call 220 ITM 2026-06-15 — High vol/OI 47x, ITM call. Likely bought; strong bullish signal. 41.4 put 250 ITM 2026-06-15 — Vol/OI 23x, OTM put. Possible hedge or bearish bet.

Risks & Catalysts

!Loss of $240 support leads to sell-off.
!Upside capped at $250 resistance.

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Bull call spreadStrong
Buy 2026-08-21 $240.00/$250.00 call spread
Why now: Bullish flow; 240/250 spread gains on move.
Capped upside; loss if below 240.
Put credit spreadModerate-Strong
Sell 2026-08-21 $230.00/$220.00 put spread
Why now: Support at 230; collect premium with limited risk.
Loss if below 220 on earnings miss.
Long callStrong
Buy 2026-08-21 $240.00 call
Why now: Bullish flow and low P/C ratio.
Time decay if no move; all premium at risk.

Top Plays

#1
Bull call spread
Buy 2026-08-21 $240.00/$250.00 call spread
Buy the $240/$250 call spread to profit from a moderate rally to $250.
Why this play: Highest confidence in bullish pinning at $240; spread targets upside with defined risk.
Debit: $3.89-$4.76
Max loss: $4.76
BE: $244.76
Mgmt: Exit if AMZN breaks below $240 support.
Traders expecting a controlled upward move within the expiration window.
#2
Long call
Buy 2026-08-21 $240.00 call
Buy the $240 call for unlimited upside exposure to the bullish thesis.
Why this play: Strong bullish flow and low P/C ratio suggest high upside potential.
Debit: $14.04-$17.16
Max loss: $17.16
BE: $257.16
Mgmt: Set stop loss at $226 to limit downside risk.
Aggressive traders seeking maximum leverage on a strong directional move.
#3
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-08-21 $230.00/$220.00 put spread
Sell the $230/$220 put spread to collect premium while maintaining a bullish bias.
Why this play: Support at $230 provides a safety net; limited risk and premium collection.
Credit: $3.13-$3.82
Max loss: $6.18
BE: $226.18
Mgmt: Roll out if price approaches $230 support.
Income-focused traders who expect minimal downside.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFAMZN holds above $240 support with bullish momentum.Enter 2026-08-21 $240/$250 call spread.
IFAMZN breaks above $240 resistance with volume.Buy 2026-08-21 $240 call.
IFAMZN remains above $230 support.Sell 2026-08-21 $230/$220 put spread.
Exit Triggers
EXITAMZN breaks below $226.4 support.Exit all bullish positions.

Tactical Summary

Bullish bias with high confidence on AMZN pinning at $240, targeting $243.06. Key support $226.4, resistance $240, $250, $250.7. Preferred plays: bull call spread for controlled upside, long call for aggressive, put credit spread for income. Invalidation below $226.4.
How to Use These Reports
This directional reflects the market close on June 12, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.