AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.Close $244.19EOD onlyThis page reflects AMZN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
AMZN is poised for a near-term bounce toward $245 max pain, supported by strong positive dealer gamma ($+11.1M GEX) that stabilizes price. However, broader market weakness (SPY -1.58%, QQQ -2.0%) and elevated VIX (22.22) cap upside beyond $250. Thesis: slightly bullish into pin, vulnerable to macro.
Conflicts: Broad market selloff (SPY -1.58%, QQQ -2.0%); VIX elevated at 22.22; mixed flow; resistance at $245, $250.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+11.1M
DEX: +109.0M shares
Gamma flip: N/A
NTM gamma: Positive gamma ($+11.1M GEX) with high DEX (+109M shares); no flip risk; provides pinning support near $245.
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: IV is relatively cheap vs VIX (22.22), suggesting company-specific calm; vol premium opportunity via short puts.
Term structure: Term structure is flat with slight contango; event kinks near OPEX; front-month expiry dominant.
Skew: Put skew elevated due to market fear; consider selling OTM put spreads in near term to capture premium.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Net premium -$75M; put/call ratio 0.74 (call-heavy), net bearish from put premium.
Directional prints: 6.9 put 237.5 OTM 2026-06-10 — Vol/OI 32.5x on $237.50 put, 55k volume. Likely bought as bearish hedge or speculation. Preferred read: bearish put buying. 54.8 call 220 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 39.0x on $220 call, 6k volume, high IV. Could be bullish buy or bearish sell. Net bearish flow favors sold. Preferred read: bearish call selling.
Unusual: 8.2 call 240 OTM 2026-06-10 — Vol/OI 44.7x on $240 call, 47k volume, near zero premium. Likely closing/opening. Unusual activity with low IV. 54.8 call 220 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 39.0x on $220 call, 6k volume, high IV. Unusual as ITM call with large relative volume. 16.4 call 242.5 OTM 2026-06-10 — Vol/OI 34.3x on $242.50 call, 54k volume, near zero premium. Unusual high volume for OTM call.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull call spread | Moderate-Strong | Buy 2026-06-26 $247.50/$252.50 call spread Why now: Captures defined upside with limited downside; aligns with short-term bullish lean. | Macro selloff could cap upside; max loss if price stays below long strike. |
| Put credit spread | Moderate | Sell 2026-06-26 $230.00/$220.00 put spread Why now: Collects premium with defined risk; favors low volatility bias into pin. | Unexpected drop below short strike; elevated VIX raises tail risk. |
Top Plays
Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.
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These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.