AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.Close $266.32EOD onlyThis page reflects AMZN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
AMZN bullish bias driven by dealer long gamma ($340M GEX) and positive flow. Spot above max pain, VIX low. Near-term upside towards 2d range high $268 and 1w high $272. Support at $262.5. Main risk is resistance at $268 and potential pinning.
Conflicts: Resistance at $268 (2d high) and $275, gamma pinning at $262.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+340.3M
DEX: +135.7M shares
Gamma flip: ~$200 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 31,931 (24.6% below spot))
NTM gamma: GEX +$340.3M, DEX +135.7M shares. Long gamma supports spot moves, flip far below at ~$200.
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: IV normal relative to VIX 17, no excessive premium.
Term structure: Flat term structure typical of normal vol regime.
Skew: Skew neutral, no actionable vol opportunity noted.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Strong net call premium ($150M) with P/C volume ratio 0.41, bullish.
Directional prints: 21 call 262.5 ITM 2026-05-27 — Vol/OI 31.6X; aggressive call buying, bullish bet. 19.6 call 265 ITM 2026-05-27 — Vol/OI 11.2X; notable call volume, likely bought.
Unusual: 3.9 call 265 ITM 2026-05-26 — Vol/OI 32X; massive 0DTE OTM call volume. 2.2 put 265 OTM 2026-05-26 — Vol/OI 21.4X; high 0DTE put volume, likely sold. 8 call 267.5 OTM 2026-05-26 — Vol/OI 10.4X; unusual call volume on 0DTE.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull call spread | Moderate-Strong | Buy 2026-08-21 $260.00/$275.00 call spread Why now: Strong call flow and positive GEX support upside; caps cost if thesis wrong. | Max loss if AMZN < $260 at expiry. |
| Put credit spread | Moderate | Sell 2026-08-21 $250.00/$245.00 put spread Why now: Support at $262.5; selling 250/245 put spread captures premium above key level. | Max loss if AMZN < $245 at expiry. |
| Long call | Moderate | Buy 2026-08-21 $260.00 call Why now: Unusual call volume and dealer long gamma favor upside; long call provides leverage. | Max loss is premium; time decay if flat. |
Top Plays
Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
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These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.