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USO

United States Oil FundClose $142.04EOD only
Max Pain
$125.00
Next expiry May 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.91
3.5% from close
Price Gap
-17.04
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
26
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.72
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 13, 2026 close
USO AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 14, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because spot trading 10% above max pain ($130) introduces mean-reversion risk that undermines pin strength, and VIX/IV divergence leaves theta exposed to IV expansion.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin near $140 with dealer long gamma and heavy call buying — all personas support limited downside and gradual upside drift.

Where They Diverge

Flow's aggressive far-dated call buying (Jun $170C) targets much higher than directional's $146-$152, and IV (44.5%) is elevated vs low VIX (17), suggesting overpriced puts that theta sells but flow's hedging may sustain.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-05 $140.00/$135.00 put spread for $1.20 credit — defined risk, profits from pin, theta decay with support below.

Key Risk

Break below $130 flips dealer gamma long, triggering hedging cascade and accelerating decline to $124.50 put OI concentration.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.