thetaOwl

USO

United States Oil FundClose $137.27EOD only
Max Pain
$137.00
Next expiry Jun 3, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.19
2.3% from close
Price Gap
-0.27
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
0
Low premium
P/C OI
1.77
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 2, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 2, 2026 close
USO AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 17, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
5.0

out of 10

Score 5 because directional bias exists but is offset equally by dealer short-gamma fragility and ambiguous flow/vol positioning, leaving the thesis easily invalidated by a single catalytic move.

Where Perspectives Agree

Slightly bullish toward $120–125 with dealer short-gamma creating a fragile, acceleration-prone upside move rather than a smooth grind.

Where They Diverge

Theta sellers worry dealer gamma can force violent moves that blow through short premium structures; flow notes (mixed) could be either accumulation or distribution — that ambiguity directly undermines a clean continuation thesis if institutional selling intensifies.

Top Trade
via directional

Directional diagonal: buy Jun 18 $134 call and sell May 29 $143 call for a small net debit (directional persona).

Key Risk

Break below $100 (gamma flip) triggers dealer de-risking and a fast downside cascade toward ~$90, invalidating the bullish pin and collapsing short-call/diagonal performance.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.