thetaOwl

USO

United States Oil FundClose $105.48EOD only
Max Pain
$109.00
Next expiry Jul 1, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.72
3.5% from close
Price Gap
+3.52
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
10
Low premium
P/C OI
1.46
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 26, 2026 close
USO Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 29, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Continued heavy put buying and spot below gamma flip at 100
Invalidation: Spot reclaims above 105 with positive GEX shift
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 spot 0.1% from MP; +1 VIX 18

Watch next session: Monitor put activity on USO for sustained bearish pressure

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$63.3M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 1.38

P/C OI ratio: 1.48

Bearish options flow with net seller premium, put/call ratios elevated, and large put prints (e.g., 95 put, 70 put). Negative GEX and spot at MP suggest downside risk. Unusual call volume on 120 call appears speculative. Bias remains bearish.

Notable Prints

#1
USO 2026-07-10 $120.00 Call
Vol: 10,084
OI: 779
Vol/OI: 12.9x
IV: 48.3%
Notional: ~$353K
Intent: Bearish

Read-through: Spec

#2
USO 2026-07-24 $70.00 Call
Vol: 769
OI: 101
Vol/OI: 7.6x
IV: 122.3%
Notional: ~$2.9M
Intent: Bullish

Read-through: Spec

#3
USO 2026-07-10 $95.00 Put
Vol: 7,678
OI: 1,080
Vol/OI: 7.1x
IV: 52.2%
Notional: ~$192K
Intent: Bearish

Read-through: Hedge

#4
USO 2026-07-24 $70.00 Put
Vol: 1,162
OI: 163
Vol/OI: 7.1x
IV: 83.0%
Notional: ~$13K
Intent: Bearish

Read-through: Spec

#5
USO 2026-07-10 $104.00 Put
Vol: 868
OI: 163
Vol/OI: 5.3x
IV: 43.8%
Notional: ~$141K
Intent: Bearish

Read-through: Hedge

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: July10 $120C (10k vol), July24 $70C (769 vol)

Put additions: Heavy: July10 $95P (7.7k), $104P, $106P; July31 $70P, $75P

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX -$56.7M bearish, DEX +37.8M bullish – mixed; flow favors puts

OI clusters: Large put OI ~30k near $100-106; calls sparse

Hedging evidence: Put buying suggests downside hedging; OTM calls may be collars

Max pain context: Spot near MP ($106.6); pinning likely; GEX flip at $100

Signal vs Noise

~Unusual put volume on $95 and $120 strikes is real signal
~Negative net premium (-$63M) confirms bearish flow
~Put/call OI ratio 1.48 indicates institutional hedging
~GEX negative but DEX positive is conflicting signal to watch
~High VIX (17.65) supports elevated options activity
~Regime: high vol, trending, bearish flow, spot at MP

Key Conclusions

🐻Institutions piling into puts; heavy downside protection at $95-$106
⚠️GEX negative with spot at MP may trigger gamma squeeze if break above MP
📊Dealer long delta (DEX +37.8M) offers support, but flows bearish
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 29, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.