thetaOwl

USO

United States Oil FundClose $114.87EOD only
Max Pain
$119.00
Next expiry Jun 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.88
5.1% from close
Price Gap
+4.13
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
48
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.57
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
USO Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Spot breaks below key support near $100; sustained put volume.
Invalidation: Spot reclaims gamma flip at $100 and VIX falls below 15.
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -0.5 spot 4.5% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: $100 gamma flip; put/call OI ratio

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$73.4M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 1.25

P/C OI ratio: 1.63

USO flow bearish: negative gamma, high put OI, net premium -$73M. Notable deep OTM calls hint at speculative activity. Downside risk persists with spot below MP.

Notable Prints

#1
USO 2027-03-19 $200.00 Call
Vol: 3,581
OI: 408
Vol/OI: 8.8x
IV: 47.0%
Notional: ~$662K
Intent: Bullish speculation

Read-through: Expects long-term oil surge

#2
USO 2026-06-26 $121.00 Call
Vol: 1,643
OI: 216
Vol/OI: 7.6x
IV: 54.0%
Notional: ~$76K
Intent: Short-term bullish bet

Read-through: Anticipates near-term rally

#3
USO 2026-06-26 $116.00 Call
Vol: 1,651
OI: 302
Vol/OI: 5.5x
IV: 51.9%
Notional: ~$229K
Intent: Same expiration bullish

Read-through: Reinforces near-term bullishness

#4
USO 2026-12-18 $106.00 Put
Vol: 1,903
OI: 473
Vol/OI: 4.0x
IV: 39.5%
Notional: ~$1.7M
Intent: Bearish hedge or speculation
Dual read: Possible put spread

Read-through: Expects decline by Dec

#5
USO 2026-07-01 $130.00 Call
Vol: 518
OI: 134
Vol/OI: 3.9x
IV: 58.8%
Notional: ~$15K
Intent: Speculative bullish

Read-through: Hopeful for July rally

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Long-dated calls at $200; near-dated at $116-132.

Put additions: Put adds at $106 (Dec26) and $101 (Sep26).

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX negative, DEX positive – mixed, short gamma with long delta.

OI clusters: Call OI: $200, $130. Put OI: $106, $101.

Hedging evidence: Puts at $106, $101 for downside; ITM call $85 as synthetic.

Max pain context: Spot below MP; pinning expected near $112-115.

Signal vs Noise

~Long-dated $200 calls are real bullish signal.
~Short-dated call flow at $116-132 may be noise.
~Put buying at $106 reflects institutional hedging.

Key Conclusions

🛢️Long-dated call buying at $200 bullish; near-term put protection dominates.
⚠️Spot below MP and negative GEX favor downside pinning near $112.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.