thetaOwl

USO

United States Oil FundClose $109.31EOD only
Max Pain
$115.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.16
2.0% from close
Price Gap
+5.69
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
3
Low premium
P/C OI
1.49
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 25, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 25, 2026 close
USO Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 26, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Spot remains below gamma flip at $100; put-heavy flow and negative gamma persist.
Invalidation: Spot reclaims $105 or call volume surges above 105.
Confidence:
6.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -1 spot 5.8% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Watch next session: Monitor spot relative to gamma flip $100 and 105 strike for reversal.

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$92.3M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 1.24

P/C OI ratio: 1.46

Heavy put flow and negative GEX signal downside pressure. Call volume at 105 may act as resistance but spot below MP supports bearish bias.

Notable Prints

#1
USO 2026-06-26 $107.00 Call
Vol: 4,474
OI: 320
Vol/OI: 14.0x
IV: 16.8%
Notional: ~$4K
Intent: Closing worthless
Dual read: Speculative opening

Read-through: Bearish omen

#2
USO 2026-08-21 $125.00 Call
Vol: 3,867
OI: 342
Vol/OI: 11.3x
IV: 48.6%
Notional: ~$812K
Intent: Speculative long shot
Dual read: Dealer hedging

Read-through: Extreme bearish

#3
USO 2026-06-26 $105.00 Call
Vol: 4,892
OI: 553
Vol/OI: 8.8x
IV: 23.4%
Notional: ~$259K
Intent: Closing OTM
Dual read: Rolling

Read-through: Neutral

#4
USO 2026-07-01 $105.00 Call
Vol: 878
OI: 140
Vol/OI: 6.3x
IV: 37.2%
Notional: ~$187K
Intent: Opening bullish
Dual read: Gamma play

Read-through: Contrarian

#5
USO 2026-07-31 $104.00 Put
Vol: 570
OI: 111
Vol/OI: 5.1x
IV: 44.3%
Notional: ~$279K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Aggressive OTM call buying: $107C (4474 vol, 14x OI), $105C (4892 vol, 8.8x OI), $125C Aug (3867 vol, 11.3x OI)

Put additions: Put buying at $104 across expirations (total OI ~30k) suggests downside hedging

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX -$77.9M (bearish flow) but DEX +38M (long gamma) indicates mixed dealer positioning

OI clusters: Put OI concentrated ~$104 (30k OI, 5.2% below spot); call OI clusters at $105 (3.6k OI July 17)

Hedging evidence: Large put OI at $104 suggests protective puts against oil decline

Max pain context: Spot below MP; max pain likely higher; pinning possible near $105

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: Heavy OTM call buying (vol/oi 14x, 11x, 8.8x) indicates speculative or hedging demand
~Signal: Put OI concentration at $104 with active put buying shows downside protection
~Signal: Net premium -$92M and put/call ratio >1 reflect bearish sentiment
~Noise: Low-volume prints (e.g., $70 put vol 526) may be negligible

Key Conclusions

🔥Aggressive OTM call buying suggests upside bets despite bearish flow
🛡️Large put OI at $104 indicates hedging, limiting downside risk
⚠️GEX negative with spot below MP could fuel gamma move if spot rises
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.