thetaOwl

USO

United States Oil FundClose $106.29EOD only
Max Pain
$120.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.43
1.4% from close
Price Gap
+13.71
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
6
Low premium
P/C OI
1.54
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
4.5/10
Downside lean
Published snapshot: Jun 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 24, 2026 close
USO Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 25, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Break below $100 gamma flip triggers further downside.
Invalidation: Sustained rally above $115 with call volume dominance.
Confidence:
7 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -0.5 spot 4.9% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: Monitor $100 support; Track put activity

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$67.5M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 1.46

P/C OI ratio: 1.49

Dominant bearish flow: net premium -$67.5M, put/call ratios >1.46, heavy put buying at 105, 80 strikes. Spot below gamma flip $100. Unusual OTM puts signal downside hedging. Resistance at $115 from call activity.

Notable Prints

#1
USO 2026-07-17 $122.00 Call
Vol: 2,025
OI: 346
Vol/OI: 5.8x
IV: 49.3%
Notional: ~$259K
Intent: Sell

Read-through: Bear

#2
USO 2026-07-10 $105.00 Put
Vol: 2,563
OI: 481
Vol/OI: 5.3x
IV: 45.0%
Notional: ~$500K
Intent: Buy

Read-through: Bear

#3
USO 2026-07-31 $80.00 Put
Vol: 948
OI: 194
Vol/OI: 4.9x
IV: 57.6%
Notional: ~$35K
Intent: Buy

Read-through: Hedge

#4
USO 2026-06-26 $113.00 Call
Vol: 2,010
OI: 472
Vol/OI: 4.3x
IV: 39.1%
Notional: ~$40K
Intent: Sell

Read-through: Bear

#5
USO 2026-06-26 $111.00 Call
Vol: 658
OI: 192
Vol/OI: 3.4x
IV: 38.7%
Notional: ~$33K
Intent: Sell

Read-through: Bear

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Aggressive OTM calls: 122C, 113C, 111C (6/26 expiry), 300C (2027); deep ITM 80C likely hedging.

Put additions: Bearish puts: 105P (7/10), 80P (7/31), deep OTM 160P (7/10).

GEX/DEX consistency: Negative GEX (-$51.5M) consistent with bearish flow; positive DEX (+36.4M shares) suggests long delta hedging.

OI clusters: 110C OI 1158, 113C OI 472, 105P OI 481; likely pin near $110-115.

Hedging evidence: Deep ITM 80C and far OTM 300C indicate upside hedging; put buying confirms downside protection.

Max pain context: Spot below MP; expected pin near $113 (largest OI cluster).

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: 122C vol/oi 5.8, 105P vol/oi 5.3, 80P vol/oi 4.9, 113C vol/oi 4.3, 111C vol/oi 3.4 (6/26) – all high conviction.
~Noise: 300C vol/oi 3.2 (far OTM, low OI), 160P vol/oi 3.0 (deep OTM, likely noise).

Key Conclusions

⚠️Net premium negative $67.5M, put/call ratio >1.4, bearish regime – institutions hedging downside aggressively.
🔼Unusual 122C and 113C call buying suggests speculative upside bets despite overall bearish flow.
Negative GEX implies dealer hedging could amplify moves; spot below MP increases pin risk near $110-115.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 25, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.