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TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $313.03EOD only
Max Pain
$327.50
Next expiry Jul 27, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.07
2.9% from close
Price Gap
+14.47
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
24
Low premium
P/C OI
0.68
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Jul 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jul 24, 2026 close
TSLA Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 9, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 9, 2026. A newer theta report is available for June 29, 2026.

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Theta Verdict

Attractiveness5 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Bear call spreads for defined risk exposure
Invalidation: Break above $430 resistance
Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 VIX 20

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
IV (67.6%) well above VIX (19.9)
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Steep front-end; 1d IV 40%, 3d 52%, then ~49%

⚠️Short-dated IV spikes suggest event risk; avoid naked shorts

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Below

GEX regime: Pinning ($+27.1M)

Gamma flip: ~$300.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 22,200 (24.4% below spot)

OI concentrations: Call wall $430-500, put floor $240-300, max pain ~$410

Verdict: Moderate pin risk; spot near max pain with positive GEX pinning

Premium Opportunities

#1
Call credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $450.00/$500.00 call spread
Sell $450/$500 call spread to collect premium with defined risk.
Credit: $4.77-$5.83
Max loss: $44.17
BE: $455.83
Mgmt: Close if TSLA breaks above $430 invalidation.
#2
Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-17 $355.00/$325.00 put wing and $460.00/$500.00 call wing
Sell put and call wings around spot to profit from range-bound move.
Credit: $7.49-$9.16
Max loss: $30.84
BE: 345.84 / 469.16
Mgmt: Exit if spot approaches wings or IV collapses.

Risk Alerts

!High near-term IV due to event risk
!Negative dealer net premium indicates bearish sentiment
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 9, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.