thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $40.64EOD only
Max Pain
$41.50
Next expiry Jun 12, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.03
7.5% from close
Price Gap
+0.86
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
49
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.80
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 9, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 9, 2026 close
SMCI Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 9, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Selling put spreads
Invalidation: Spot below $37.7 support or IV <80%
Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 VIX 20

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
IV 94.6% vs VIX 19.9% – rich premiums
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Near-term 3d high at 89.5%, dips to 83.7% by 17d, then gradual rise; put skew extreme for 3d

📈IV/VIX ratio ~4.8x – elevated
⚠️Put IV 172% for 3d – high time decay but risk

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Below

GEX regime: Pinning ($+49.3M)

Gamma flip: ~$30.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 17,940 (26.2% below spot)

OI concentrations: Put OI heavy at $30; call wall $44-$60

Verdict: Pin risk at $42 (Jun12) and $34 (Jun18); dealer gamma positive

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $38.00/$36.00 put spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $38/$36 put spread to capture high IV premium with defined risk.
Credit: $0.70-$0.86
Max loss: $1.14
BE: $37.14
Mgmt: Exit if spot breaches $37.7 or IV drops below 80%.
#2
Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-17 $38.00/$36.00 put wing and $41.00/$42.00 call wing
Sell 2026-07-17 $38/$36 put wing and $41/$42 call wing to profit from range-bound move.
Credit: $1.08-$1.33
Max loss: $0.67
BE: 36.67 / 42.33
Mgmt: Adjust if spot approaches either wing; close if IV collapses.

Risk Alerts

!Near-term put IV extreme – risk of IV crush
!Spot below max pain – bullish flow may test $41.5 resistance
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 9, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.