thetaOwl

ORCL

Oracle CorporationClose $187.50EOD only
Max Pain
$165.00
Next expiry Apr 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.88
3.7% from close
Price Gap
-22.50
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
25
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.75
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ORCL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 22, 2026 close
ORCL AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because short‑term alignment (gamma + flow + theta opportunities) favors a pin, but the looming earnings/IV term-structure and a persistent later max‑pain band present a credible, binary downside override that prevents higher conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Near-term bullish pin driven by dealer short-gamma and constructive flow creates an upward bias into near expiries.

Where They Diverge

Directional/flow-driven near-term lift conflicts with the earnings/term-structure and later-dated max-pain centered around $162–165, which implies a material mean-reversion risk that would undercut any sustained push above the 180–195 pin band.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-18 $170/$165 put spread for ~credit (defined-risk bullish income).

Key Risk

A close below $162 (later max-pain band) — triggered by an earnings shock or rollover of call demand — would flip dealer gamma positioning, break the pin, and accelerate downside toward ~$150.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.