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ORCL

Oracle CorporationClose $169.81EOD only
Max Pain
$148.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.42
3.8% from close
Price Gap
-21.81
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.71
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ORCL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 15, 2026 close
ORCL AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because the alignment between dealer gamma (pinning) and visible flow into call walls gives a clear near-term bias, but conviction is capped by two asymmetric risks: clustered weekly expiries/max-pain dynamics that can reassert and the upcoming earnings window (~56d) whose IV/skew can invert positioning quickly; these event/timing risks prevent a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Net of all lenses: dealer short-gamma and concentrated call interest are creating an upside magnet into the near-term call wall (around the $170s) while elevated IV makes premium-selling attractive — the path is biased higher but fragile around expiries and the June earnings window.

Where They Diverge

Flow/earnings signals that show institutional accumulation into higher strikes and elevated forward IV imply continuation above $170, which directly conflicts with the directional persona's repeated multi-week max-pain at ~$148 that would cap upside and encourage pinning. Separately, theta wants to aggressively sell front-week calls into the pin, but the earnings term-structure and concentrated forward buying create a scenario where short front-week premium could be wiped out by event-driven or flow-fueled extension.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-24 $180/$190 call spread for approximately $0.60 credit (theta play to harvest pinning premium ahead of weeklies).

Key Risk

A sustained intraday break and close below $135 flips dealer gamma from short to long, triggering rapid dealer de-hedging and stop cascades — consequence: downside acceleration toward ~$125 and the pin/short-call thesis collapses.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for ORCL for 2026-04-15. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.