thetaOwl

ORCL

Oracle CorporationClose $178.34EOD only
Max Pain
$150.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.42
2.5% from close
Price Gap
-28.34
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.70
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ORCL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
ORCL AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because market-level positioning and dealer hedging favor upside, but conflicting signals from imminent earnings/pinning create a binary event risk that can quickly negate momentum; not higher until price clears resistance or survives earnings.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish continuation into the 185–190 area driven by dealer short-gamma and buy flow, but upside is functionally capped by a strong pinning band near 150–155 that can compress rallies.

Where They Diverge

Flow/volume accumulation and directional buy-side momentum support continuation, while earnings-term structure and pinning dynamics imply a high-probability fade around the 150–155 max‑pain — the latter directly undermines a clean breakout thesis; theta favors selling premium into this tension whereas earnings warns of binary IV expansion that would punish short premium.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Jun18 2026 $160/$155 put spread for credit (theta trade)

Key Risk

Break and close below $155 on heavy tape flips dealer gamma from net-short to long, removing rally support and accelerating downside toward $150 then $145 gap-fill, wiping out short-premium positions.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for ORCL for 2026-04-17. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.